Political implications of Immigration and Demographic shift

March 28th, 2017 by greg

vote_hereIf you know me, you know I am interested in immigration. More than being personal for me ( since I have so many close relatives with more than one passport ). Immigration has become a topic of interest in the first hundred days of the 45th president of the United States.

I ran across a survey by a student working on his senior thesis. The title is “Political implications of Immigration and Demographic shift”. A bog standard Google survey and it took me a minute to fill out.

If you have a few minutes, it would be great if you could fill it out, as larger sample sizes are always better. The survey is 20 questions total, it shouldn’t take more than 1-2 minutes.

Here is the link to the survey:Political Implications of Immigration and Demographic shift


Cheap Way for Trump to Increase Deportations

March 4th, 2017 by greg

danielavargasWhen Daniela Vargas was arrested in her car after a press conference, a curious thing happened.   She was driving with her girlfriend when she was stopped. These were not local police, but unmarked   Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) cars.

I won’t go into the details of the case, or what I think was the real reason she is being detained. Daniela was leaving from a press conference in Jackson Mississippi.  She spoke about living as an undocumented immigrant in the U.S.

After her arrest, a spokesman for ICE said that Vargas would go through court proceedings. This seemed very standard boilerplate response. I assume it is the standard response from ICE spokesman in cases like this.

Detainees are usually taken before an immigration judge. The court would determine if she is eligible for any kind of relief, from deportation.

LOW PRIORITY UNDER OBAMA

What happened next was not standard. Under the Obama administration, visa overstayers were considered a low priority. If a visa overstayer had not committed any crimes and she would have probably been released.  Based on the Morton Exercising Prosecutorial Discretion memo, I say probably. Many low priority undocumented immigrants were detained during Obama’s tenure.

Her lawyer Abigail Peterson said, “They don’t plan on giving her a hearing with an immigration judge, and so she will be prepared for removal, so they’ll prepare travel documents and set up a flight plan.”

The ICE notice that a Daniela had been admitted under the  VWP program, gives up the right to see a judge. They are deported. No hearing or pleading your case to a judge.

The Visa Waiver Program (VWP) is a program which allows citizens of certain countries to travel to the United States for tourism or business up to 90 days without having to obtain a visa. Argentina at the time Daniela was admitted was one of those countries.

Most visitors who come to the United States under the Visa Waiver Program leave. According to the Department of Homeland Security, more than 99% in fiscal year (FY) 2015.

WHY THIS MATTERS

The United Stares spends a lot of resources to deport unlawful residents. In the past, visa overstays were often ignored. The Trump administration wants to increase deportations, which takes time and resources. A class of undocumented immigrants that can be deported without a hearing at is a piece of “Low hanging fruit”.

For Visa Waiver Program countries, the FY 2015 overstay rate is 0.65 percent of the 20,974,390 entries.  That means that there are 136,333 targets for quick, efficient, and cheap deportation.