sj's Longest Now [v.1]

Lots of presidential campaigning going on.  And everyone wants grassroots support… guess it’s all the rage. Even Bush/Orwell is into action campaigning.

I’ve been away for much of last month, but I made it back in time for this week’s berkman blogger meeting.  It was delightful as always, though I didn’t get a chance to slip chris lydon a copy of his Dresden Dolls paean.

There’s a Yahoo! group (the “aduni” group, in fact) that was recently set up (in June) for people who plan to work through a few of the aduni courses together.  Its members are mainly readers of the lambda weblog…  I wish them much success, and wonder how the many owners of aduni-course-drives [a hard drive with all of the course materials on it, available from aduni.org] have made use of them.

Have a vision of what the ideal future should be like?  Willing to share it with a bunch of eager young democrats?  Make yourself heard.

Dean Raises $7.5 Million in Second Quarter

In the second quarter ending yesterday, 59,000 Americans donated an average of $112 to help boost Governor Howard Dean to the top of the second quarter fundraisers with a total of $7.5 million raised.  [deanforamerica.com]

I should have seen it coming — the top two undeclared candidates quietly joining forces.  It was staring straight out at me from Clark’s WaveCrest bio:

Gen. Clark is Chairman and CEO of Wesley K. Clark & Associates, a business services and development firm based in Little Rock, Ark.

Anyway, Clark was at Hillary’s book-signing two nights ago, got a book signed, and set up a rival greeting line.  Bill Kristol knew the score almost a year ago.

But what if they put Clark at the top of the ticket, with Hillary as VP?  This may be the more prudent option.  After all, what self-respecting Republican would vote Hillary for President?  Here’s the updated rundown on Clark.

(10/18: There is now a separate Wesley Clark story for future updates)

  I’m not particularly curious about most of the presidential candidates out there.  Their motives are clear; their platforms and supporters and reasons for running, straightforward (and mostly uninteresting).  I respect Dean; it’s natural for him to have a groundswell of support considering his great success in an explosively grass-roots state and his supporters’ avid blogging; I want him to succeed.  But I’m not (yet) curious about him or his candidacy.  
      General Wesley Clark makes me very curious.

Current sites

• Wikipedia entry
  
• Detailed Clark fan-site: wesleyclark.h1.ru
  
• Clark-support blog:  DraftClark [run by Kos and Stirling Newberry]
  
• Original ‘draft Clark’ sites: draftwesleyclark [run through Net-vet and K-School grad John Hlinko’s Extreme Campaigns since at least early April] and daughter sites DraftClark2004 [NH draft effort; Sue Putney, et al], …
  
• Other Clark info sites:  WesleyClark.us, the Wesley Clark Blog, clarkforpresident.blogspot.com, The Clark Sphere, draftthegeneral.blogspot.com, the General Clark Resource Guide…
  
• Clark2004 Meetup (currently ~3200 members)
  
• Yahoo! groups:  wesleyclark2004, Students, Midwesterners,
  
  
  
  • CA, Florida, Iowa, Missouri, NH, NY, Ohio, UT,  … 
  
  
• 
  

  Other fan sites:  Women4Clark, VeteransforClark, …

Recent Political History

Clark has certainly had politics on his mind since retiring from the military, and probably long before.  He was a White House aide for a time in the ’70s, after his initial time in the Army.  Last year he was asked by both parties about considering a run for Senate in Arkansas, and said (Feb 2002) he was considering it…  I remember a friend suggesting him for president months ago, before fighting started in Iraq; I didn’t realize (nor did the friend) that Clark had been subtlely broadcasting his presidential suitability for a long while.
       He was certainly considering a run in a national campaign last fall, when he started writing political columns (for the London Times, as early as last August) criticizing the administration’s foreign policy, meeting with DNC bigwigs and touring the Granite State, endorsing Katrina Swett before the midterm elections.  Manchester Dem chairman Raymond Buckley put it well, after a dinner party with Clark: “I’d say he is running, but I don’t know if he is running in 2004 or 2008 or beyond. I first met Clinton in 1979.”    

       Clark took a big step in February, leaving his two-year post as investor at Stephens, Inc.  His decision to float a shadow campaign and become a serious political force in the coming election was made by then, as he moved to write political articles, promote his book [as he had done throughout his tenure at Stephens], and hit the lecture circuit full-time.  See for instance his widely-quoted War Diary for the London Times (note his bio there explicitly states he is considering running against Bush in the coming election).
       Clark was pulling out the stops by late April — consider his bio at WaveCrest Labs, where he was suddenly named Chairman of the Board on April 21: a great bio for a pres. candidate, but irrelevant to the company after the first sentence.  They don’t mention his recent investment work in emerging technology, or his relevant board positions elsewhere — they don’t mention his investment work at all.  Contrast this with the other management-team bios, or to Clark’s carefully-targeted bios for Stephens, Inc. and NATO.

      Yet he’s been giving non-monotonic mixed signals — despite such clear “maybes” as his London Times bio, last week Wired wrote that he was still insisting he wasn’t running (a fine way to fire up support, as Hillary would be quick to agree; everyone needs to go watch Primary Colors again).

Questions

       When did Hlinko start promoting Clark?  Surely before April 9, when he launched draftwesleyclark, migrating it from its parent site.  Did the Mar 16 UPI report coin it’s title phrase “Draft Wesley Clark“?  Maybe someone should ask author Cliff Shechter.  How long ago did an official Clark sub-campaign start up?  How much of it was due to encouragement by the Clintons?  How large is his staff now?  And how often does an Arkansas Rhodes Scholar consider running for president?  Oh, right.

       For negative opinions of General Clark, and questions about his record, look elsewhere — cf. zealous reports of Clark’s association with Waco, or writing by David Hackworth, online.
       For older opinions of him, try searching for SACEUR and Clark; it’s hard to find extended opinions of him from before 1997.  Here’s a 1998 salute to him from Stuttgart with a historical angle.
       For foreign opinions of him, well he has his Honorary Knighthood, and national awards from a double-handful of european countries.  I don’t know what that means to current citizenry or administrations, however.

       Privately, I’m curious about the hasty WaveCrest Chairman-appointment [I’m guessing Maslov, a founder, VP, and former VA-area investment analyst, was the link]; about the amateur quality of his official online presence; about whether Clark’s PR folks (part of someone else’s larger PR team?) or Hlinko moved first; about the General’s previous political history and connections within our government (might as well start with the Clinton administration) and military leadership, particularly leading up to his time as SACEUR; about what he privately cares for.

Other references

Books of recent note: 

General Clark‘s Waging Modern War,
Ambassador Holbrooke‘s To End a War (Largely about the Dayton Peace Accords, for which Gen. Clark was the chief military negotiator.  Chapter I has an amazing anecdote involving the Ambassador and the General.),
David Halberstam‘s War In A Time Of Peace

Speeches and Interviews online:

video from U.Arkansas [4/17], 
transcripts from the Council on Foreign Relations, the Carnegie Council on Ethics and International Affairs [6/5], testifying before Congress about expanding NATO[4/8]…
interviews with Meet the Press [6/15], Buchanan and Press [6/18], …

The Berkeley MOTD… It gives me real pleasure every time I visit this page to see such reasonable, contained, human conversations being randomly generated by the world.  Just the way I would imagine technology to enhance small talk, not at all like usenet or modern mailing lists.  I’d love to know the two or three little tricks they use to get it to work, but then that would dampen some of the thrill it gives me now.

Life and conversation have been developing at breakneck speeds.  Today was full of bizarre coincidence, charm, and confusion.  There is much to discuss with all of you, and many observations to share over the weekend.

For now, let me just note that there is indeed an active mail archive intended for general tidbits, from people everywhere, to no particular audience but posterity.  Come back soon with opinions in hand…

It’s becoming ever easier to refine one’s thoughts publicly, letting other benefit from and comment on initial great ideas, before taking the plunge of submitting a book manuscript to editors (cf. my developing essay on cloning communication channels).

See, for instance, Seth G‘s 99 Cows (lovely companion to his new book, released on its publication date), Halley S’s Alpha Male lessons, Wil W’s new life as an author.

Then there are the instructive notes from people who learned to write, then came to master the art of sending messages to everyone — via printer and by-hand mass mailing, then via mail, over the web; is it the same? Do people who have made one leap eventually go further and use the effort they put into their biyearly family mailing to generate a beautiful corner of the web for others? some people, of course, come to put everything that might interest others on their personal site…

What lessons are to be learned here?  Certainly none of the people above regretted being open with their thoughts and writing before committing them to a publication deal, nor had to retract old writing.  How and when does publishing profusely online hurt (potential) authors?