Posted in Andrew Exum, Chuck Freilich, Diplomacy, Iran, Nuclear on Jul 1st, 2008 2 Comments »
From Chuck Freilich Thirty years ago, in his magnificent book on Perception and Misperception, Robert Jervis argued that people’s views are self-reinforcing. Once we believe something to be the case, we further develop an array of arguments to discount those pesky doubts that we may harbor and to fully convince ourselves that our initial position […]
Posted in Chuck Freilich, Iran, Israel, Josef Joffe, Mark N. Katz, Mark T. Clark, Martin Kramer, Nuclear, Robert O. Freedman, Stephen Peter Rosen on Jun 26th, 2008 7 Comments »
Earlier this month, Israel sent more than 100 warplanes on military maneuvers across the Eastern Mediterranean. An unnamed U.S. official described the exercise as practice toward honing the skills for a long-range strike. The assumption is that the maneuvers signal an Israeli willingness and capability to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities, if all other measures to […]
Posted in Chuck Freilich, Iran, Josef Joffe, Mark N. Katz, Nuclear, Russia on Apr 22nd, 2008 3 Comments »
From Chuck Freilich Is it too late to dissuade Iran from developing nukes? A nuclear Iran does increasingly loom as the likely outcome, not because it is too late, but due to lack of sufficient resolve. Iran is at least two and probably more years away from an operational capability. France has taken a firm […]
Posted in Arab Gulf, Chuck Freilich, Iran, Israel, Jacqueline Newmyer, Michael Mandelbaum, Nuclear, Stephen Peter Rosen, Terrorism on Apr 17th, 2008 3 Comments »
From Jacqueline Newmyer and Stephen Peter Rosen The extension of American nuclear guarantees in the Middle East has been posed as a question of American guarantees to Israel. This is understandable given the intense hostility to Israel expressed by the Iranian regime. However, there is a broader objective that may be served by U.S. nuclear […]
Posted in Chuck Freilich, David Schenker, Egypt, Michele Dunne, Steven A. Cook, Tamara Cofman Wittes on Apr 9th, 2008 7 Comments »
From Steven A. Cook For those too caught up in the drama of on-again, off-again Israeli-Palestinian talks, the Iraq and/or Iran debates, and Lebanon’s political paralysis to pay close attention, Egypt seems like the one part of the Middle East that is not teetering on the brink. The team that Husni (and Gamal) Mubarak put […]
Posted in Andrew Exum, Chuck Freilich, David Schenker, Hezbollah, Israel, Lebanon, Michael Young on Feb 26th, 2008 3 Comments »
From Michael Young Another round of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah is certainly likely, but I don’t consider it inevitable, particularly in the short term. There are several reasons for this.
Posted in Adam Garfinkle, Alan Dowty, Charles Hill, Chuck Freilich, Harvey Sicherman, Israel, Robert Satloff on Feb 19th, 2008 5 Comments »
From Adam Garfinkle In the latest issue of The American Interest, March/April 2008, Itamar Rabinovich, the former Israeli ambassador to the United States, former president of Tel Aviv University, former head of the Dayan Center, current visiting professor of public policy at Harvard’s Kennedy School, and a member of the The American Interest editorial board, […]
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